Clinton leads big in Ky., Obama modestly in Ore.
Added 631 days ago on May 19th, 2008
New polls show Sen. Hillary Clinton with a commanding lead going into the Kentucky primary, while Sen. Barack Obama holds a comfortable one in Oregon. Those two states, which hold contests Tuesday, are expected to do little more than illustrate the divide between Democratic voters in selecting a presidential candidate.Clinton leads the latest CNN "poll of polls" - an average of multiple polls - in Kentucky, 58 percent to 28 percent. Kentucky is dominated by working-class voters, which has been a source of support for Clinton throughout the prolonged primary season.Obama's base of support - young and higher-educated voters - are better represented in Oregon, and a poll of polls there reflects that demographic: The senator from Illinois holds a 50 percent to 40 percent advantage over Clinton.The former first lady is campaigning Monday in Kentucky, while former President Clinton and daughter Chelsea are on the trail in Oregon.Obama spoke Sunday in front of what his campaign called his biggest audience to date - 75,000 people on the banks of the Willamette River in Portland, Oregon.Obama will campaign Monday in Montana, which, along with South Dakota, will hold the last contests of the primary season on June 3. Democratic voters in Puerto Rico will cast their ballots June 1.
Source: cnn.com
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* CLINTON - 16,691,639
* OBAMA - 16,648,060
Source: abcnews.go.com/politics
Also, since she appears to have a better chance against McCain according to most polls...
www.gordonwaynewatts.com/.....ryMightWin.html
www.gordonwatts.com/HowHi.....ryMightWin.html
...therefore, it is not logical to assume the superdelegates will vote for Obama.
In case people forget, let me remind you of the reason the 'Superdelegates' were created in the 1st place:
When it was discovered that the candidate with the most "pledged" delegates sometimes is not the strongest candidate for November (example: Jimmy Carter), it was decided that "superdelegates" would be created as a "correction factor":
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superdelegate
superdelegates.org/Main_P.....elegate_Process
writ.news.findlaw.com/laz.....s/20080214.html
All three links look very good. Therefore, it is only logical to conclude that whomever has the best chance against McCain will be chosen by the remaining undecided Superdelegates -which is not necessarily the same candidate who has the most "pledged" delegates.
If the Superdelegate merely picked the person which their home district picked, then why even give them the right to vote? So, since they do have a choice, they should be expected to pick the candidate with the best chance of winning in November. For the Democrats, that would currently be Sen. Clinton. Observe:
1. She is ahead in popular vote
2. Polls suggest she has the better chance against McCain
3. She has more experience
That all coud change -it is a close primary.
Since Sen. Clinton currently leads in the popular vote in the primary, it is not logical to 'count her out' as some have suggested:
* CLINTON - 16,691,639
* OBAMA - 16,648,060
Source: abcnews.go.com/politics
Also, since she appears to have a better chance against McCain according to most polls...
www.GordonWayneWatts.com/.....ryMightWin.html
www.GordonWatts.com/HowHi.....ryMightWin.html
...therefore, it is not logical to assume the superdelegates will vote for Obama.
In case people forget, let me remind you of the reason the 'Superdelegates' were created in the 1st place:
When it was discovered that the candidate with the most "pledged" delegates sometimes is not the strongest candidate for November (example: Jimmy Carter), it was decided that "superdelegates" would be created as a "correction factor":
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superdelegate
superdelegates.org/Main_P.....elegate_Process
writ.news.findlaw.com/laz.....s/20080214.html
All three links look very good. Therefore, it is only logical to conclude that whomever has the best chance against McCain will be chosen by the remaining undecided Superdelegates -which is not necessarily the same candidate who has the most "pledged" delegates.
If the Superdelegate merely picked the person which their home district picked, then why even give them the right to vote? So, since they do have a choice, they should be expected to pick the candidate with the best chance of winning in November. For the Democrats, that would currently be Sen. Clinton. Observe:
1. She is ahead in popular vote
2. Polls suggest she has the better chance against McCain
3. She has more experience
That all could change -it is a close primary, bur presently, the only thing Obama leads in is delegate count.