Since the first primary and caucus, Americans have been split politically, socially and racially.

Consider reasons why Barach Obama is the candidate for Democrats in the Whitehouse. The larger number of African-Americans, who registered for the first time and voted; these are people of all age groups.Include in Obama's current numbers of popularity the younger people [non-African-American] who did the same thing.....registered and voted for the first time.

Now this is not to say that all the new African-American and mixed-age group voters are not welcome in the American process; they are. But where will these very people be in the months ahead....and after the election when they see how poorly and ineffective their earlier choice will have become, what then? The entire country will be left with no options because the rally of color and youth played their cards.
But wait.
Polls, talk show hosts, their guests and spin jockeys everywhere including the Barach Obama machine are making their predictions. But here are the facts: Predictions from all of these quarters are inaccurate. Why? There are no constants, only changes and there are FOUR:
[1]Opinions,
[2]Skewed questions, (Asked in a way to result in the contrived answer)
[3]Demographics (population differences in size, social class, ethnicity and race and yes, …even neighborhood)
[4]attitudes of the participant [a] how I approach the question estimated guessing [c] Straight talk.
CONSIDER: only 12% of the American population is Black. This can't be the block which is predicting the swing for Obama.