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Mitt Romney’s road to presidency this fall looks narrow on electoral map
Made popular 389 days ago in
It’s no secret that former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney has a narrow path to win the presidency this fall. Nowhere is that reality more apparent than when examining the electoral map on which Romney and President Obama will battle in November.
A detailed analysis of Romney’s various paths to the 270 electoral votes he would need to claim the presidency suggests he has a ceiling of somewhere right around 290 electoral votes.
While Romney’s team would absolutely take a 290-electoral-vote victory, that means he has only 20 electoral votes to play with — a paper-thin margin for error.
Romney’s relatively low electoral-vote ceiling isn’t unique to him. No Republican presidential nominee has received more than 300 electoral votes in more than two decades. (Vice President George H.W. Bush won 426 electoral votes in his 1988 victory over Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis.)
By contrast, Bill Clinton in 1992 (370 electoral votes) and 1996 (379) as well as Obama in 2008 (365) soared well beyond the 300-electoral-vote marker.
Much of that is attributable to the fact that Democrats have near-certain wins in population (and, therefore, electoral-vote) behemoths such as California (55 electoral voters), New York (29) and Illinois (20).
The only major electoral-vote treasure trove that is reliably Republican at the moment is Texas, with its 38 electoral votes. So while George W. Bush won 30 states in 2000 and 31 states in 2004, he never came close to cresting the 300-electoral-vote mark in either race.
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389 days ago
All it takes is a loss in any of the big battleground states like Florida, Ohio or North Carolina and it'll be 4 more years of Obama.
389 days ago
Certainly a better man and leader than the current P-resident. At least he can speak without the crutch of a TelePrompTer and is not a babbling idiot without one. Not sure if he or anyone can turn back the destruction that Obama and the commies in his administration along with the extreme leftists in Congress have unleashed on our once great Nation. I also think Ann Romney has been proud of her country for her entire life.
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