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John McCain a 2004 repeat?
Added 2190 days ago in
The McCain campaign begins by looking at this map and saying, yes, there are some problem states, there are some struggle states, but there is
not one state that George W. Bush won four years ago that the McCain camp says on this day is absolutely, positively out of the picture. So, they
start seeing challenges, but they think they're competitive in every one of those states. BROWN: McCain, though, has this argument that he's a
different kind of candidate than George W. Bush. How does that work to his advantage?
KING: They believe it works to their advantage in several key states. Number one is the state we've talked a lot about this week, Pennsylvania.
KING: Let's go back and look at the 2004 presidential race. Now, George W. Bush wanted this state badly. He came up just short. Why? Because
John Kerry beat him down here in the Philadelphia suburbs. They think John McCain is more competitive.
Same views as George Bush on abortion, but he doesn't wear it on his sleeve, if you will, like George W. Bush did. They believe McCain has a
better chance with moderates and independents in the Philadelphia suburbs. And especially if Barack Obama is his opponent, they believe he can
do well with Reagan Democrats in places like Scranton, Redding and Allentown, and out here near Pittsburgh. So they think Pennsylvania is in
play, depending on who the Democratic opponent is.
One other place would they think being different from George W. Bush helps them, let's take this off and zoom this back out. Let's come back out
to the '04 presidential election.
Now, George W. Bush won in New Mexico, Campbell, but just barely, 50 to 49. George Bush also won in Nevada, but just barely, 50 to 48. In both
of those states, Latino voters are key. Latino voters in the last two years have turned against the Republican Party because of the immigration
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Can John McCain Win the Election in November?
Yes, 2004 will repeat for Republicans
No, He will lose key swing states
This is not a scientific survey,
to learn more. Results may not total 100% due to rounding and voting descrepencies.
2190 days ago
he's done even before general election.
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